U.S. presidential election getting rough..."An unprecedented situation could happen in 200 years." [Y Record]

■ Host: Park Seok-won Anchor
■ Starring: Min Jeong-hoon, Professor of American Research at the National Diplomatic Institute

* The text below may differ from the actual broadcast content, so please check the broadcast for more accurate information. Please specify [YTN New Square 10AM] when quoting.

◇Anchor> There are signs that the fierce war of nerves between the two sides is getting more and more overheated. Your remarks are getting stronger. How do you view these remarks?

◆Min Jeong-hoon> The fact that the level of remarks by the two candidates is high means that the current race is very fierce. If you think about a few months ago, after the shooting of former President Trump in July, he was very gentle and inclusive when he sent a message of unity at the Republican National Convention. What kind of atmosphere it reflects is that he took the victory. Since he has won, he is showing a message of unity and a relaxed attitude that he will lead the country as a national leader while doing positive content rather than negative content as a national leader. However, the situation has changed so much that they are competing fiercely, so if they compete fiercely, they need an election strategy that changes the status quo or brings it to their advantage.

For that, it is necessary to make an effort to shake the status quo by attacking the other candidate. Both candidates are showing that. In the case of candidate Trump, he is very personally attacking Harris' mental part, saying, "Isn't he crazy?" Harris did not make such an attack at first, but it is unfolding very close, and recently, Trump's rise is so close that it cannot be ignored. And in seven competing states, former President Trump is leading. That's why you can't sit idly by on this part. So, highlight the problems of former President Trump and shake the status quo so that the atmosphere can return to him. At the very least, it is necessary to create momentum for the supporters to gather. So, I think that the positions of the two candidates are bound to be rough.

◇Anchor> It is famous that candidate Trump's mouth was so rough and familiar, but from Harris' point of view, some analysts say that the more harsh the story, the more shaken the voters they originally had. What do you think?

◆ Min Jeong-hoon> That's what's considered. So, as you said, if Harris had continued to rise, as she had shown over the past few months, she wouldn't have engaged in such a wild war of words. However, as the approval rating, which had been rising, faltered and fell out a little, and as Trump's supporters gathered, the polls are very close and Trump's close advantage is changing. That's why he's able to show a stronger performance to rally his support base. So, some of the supporters complain about why Harris does not attack so strongly and show strong performance like former President Trump. I think you've considered that, but as you said, if you show such a strong side, you can be relatively shaken. So it can be negative because it can be shaken to show the mild and moderate side of the past, but now the situation is so urgent that I think it's showing a strong side.

◇Anchor> Since the competition is so fierce right now, there may be a situation that we have never seen in more than 200 years of the U.S. presidential election. Is it because of issues such as voter uniformity and election disobedience?

◆ Min Jeong-hoon> Saying that such an election result, which is rare in the history of American politics, is the most talked about scenario is that the electors are tied 268:268. So if you look at the U.S. federal constitution, you have to win a majority of the electors to be president of the United States. So the candidate who won 270 votes out of 538 votes is elected, but since the total is 538, it can be logically divided into 268:268. And if you look at the current distribution of electors in the seven competing states, it's not impossible. So 268:268, you can assume that there could be an unprecedented event.

If that happens, in the case of the United States, the winner is decided not by re-election, but by a provisional election in the U.S. House of Representatives. So there's a situation where the two candidates become candidates for the provisional election and each state can only exercise one vote, and if that happens, we'll have to consider the number of Democratic and Republican seats in each state. Considering that, there is a prediction that former President Trump will be more advantageous if that happens because the Republican Party is slightly ahead in 50 states. Anyway, I think that there are really various scenarios because the election is so close.

Excerpted from
: Lee Sun Digital News Team Editor

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