"Remember 47"... the number of U.S. presidential candidates. [Y transcript]

2024.11.06. AM 09:57
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■ Host: Anchor Yoon Jae-hee
■ Starring: Bong Young-sik, a professional researcher at Yonsei Unification Research Institute

* The text below may differ from the actual broadcast content, so please check the broadcast for more accurate information. Please specify [YTN News UP] when quoting.

◆ Anchor: Counting begins. Then the outline can be revealed by this evening, right?

◇ Bong Young-sik: And watch the YTN morning news tomorrow early in the morning to be more accurate, and to the viewers, note 47. Number 47. Let me tell you. It is the 47th president of the United States of America who will be elected this time. Trump ran for his third presidential election this time, beating Hillary Clinton in 2016 and losing in 2020. But in 2016, Trump's vote share in 2020 was the same at 47%.

So, if Trump wins more than 47% of the national vote this time, Trump is likely to win. You can look at it like this. The second hint is white female voters. White female voters in the U.S. did not fully support Hillary Clinton, the 2016 female candidate, but rather voted 2% more for Trump, the male candidate. In 2020, 46% supported Joe Biden, and 7% more U.S. white female voters voted for Trump.

Therefore, Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris is likely to win the 2024 presidential election only when she wins more than 47% from white female voters in the U.S., higher than 45% and 46%. 47. In order for Trump to be elected as the 47th president, he needs to cross the 47% wall in the national vote, and for Kamala Harris to be the 47th president, white female voters need to support 47% or more, not 45-46. It will be helpful if you remember this.

Excerpted from
: Jeong Eui-jin, Editor of the Digital News Team


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