■ Starring: Cho Byung-je, professor of the Institute for Far East Studies at Kyungnam University
* The text below may differ from the actual broadcast content, so please check the broadcast for more accurate information. Please specify [YTN News Special Report-2024 U.S. Choice] when quoting.
◇Anchor> In fact, until the end, it was analyzed that it was a chaotic situation in the fog that we never knew, and even on the day of the election, there were many analyses that predicted Harris' winning rate higher. But how did it come to this? Did you expect that?
◆ Cho Byung-je> If you completely expected Trump to win from the beginning, that would be a little too much. Not long ago, there was a poll on whether President Biden was running the state administration properly or not, and only 28% answered that the country is going in a normal direction. So that's what American experts said. In this situation, it is unimaginable that the ruling party will be back in power, many people said. So if you look at the soil as a whole, it seems that there is a pretty high chance that Trump will be elected again because the sentiment of Americans is now more pessimistic than optimistic and then negative than positive, so you can see that there was soil. However, one thing that was a little uncertain was that Trump was originally like that, right? There are quite a few people who think that this style is not suitable for the president in a way because they talk rough and talk recklessly, so it will work negatively to some extent. So there's definitely soil, but I think it was a little uncertain how the American people would judge this style part.
◇Anchor> If you look at the contending states now, it has been confirmed that Trump took Pennsylvania, which is considered the most important contending states, early on. I also took North Carolina and Georgia. What do you think voters made this choice because Trump did well in this situation?
◆I think it was an economic problem. I told you earlier.I think the biggest reason was that voters did not realize that the economic situation was improving, as only 28% of people saw the country going right now. Pennsylvania was the key, followed by Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and Michigan. This area called the three Rust Belt near the Great Lakes was originally a so-called Democratic stronghold that supported the Democratic Party in four presidential elections since 2000. And then in 2016, we went back to Trump. The reason why I went back then was also the economic problem. So I left it to Trump and then I met COVID-19, so Trump is not getting this right. That's how we moved on to Biden in the 2020 presidential election. But when I went to Biden, the economic problem didn't improve at all, I can't do this. I think that the economy is Trump, and I think Pennsylvania is also working this time, and I think the impact is quite significant on Michigan and Wisconsin, so even if it doesn't work there, there will be a very narrow gap.
Excerpted from the conversation: Lee Mi-young, editor of the digital news team
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