■ Broadcasting: FM 94.5 (17:00-19:00)
■ Air date: November 11, 2024 (Monday)
■ Proceedings: Shin Yul, Professor of Political Science and Diplomacy at Myongji University
■ Dialogue: Shin Ji-ho, Minister of Strategic Planning for People's Power,
* The text below may differ from the actual broadcast content, so please check the broadcast for more accurate information.
- 尹 Support Stops Down and Stops Bottoming..Crossroads between floor and rebound
- 尹, human renewal, etc. should continue..Accurately matching policy code with South Korea
- Myung Tae-kyun's arrest, there may be a change of heart...The trump card is well
- Democratic Party out-of-the-box rally, strategic bankruptcy...野 Lee Jae-myung's shield for early presidential election
- The Democratic Party of Korea does not talk cowardly while talking about impeachment in the context of 'disgrace'
- Special Prosecutor Kim Gun-hee Act? There's not going to be a leave vote.'Myeongtae-gyun gate' is a problem
- Special Inspector, chances are high that the general meeting will be agreed..Guns are being collected
- Lee Jae-myung's first trial sentence should be broadcast live following Trump as Han Dong-hoon claims
◆ Shin Yul: Shin Yul's news head-to-head competition part 2 begins. In today's face-to-face interview in the second part, he is Shin Ji-ho, the head of the Strategic Planning Department. You're in the studio right now. Please come in.
◇ Hello.
◆ Shin Yul: I think you're very busy these days, but anyway, since I gave you a rough overview of the Realmeter poll before the Realmeter poll, I won't repeat it now, but it's 22% so it didn't drop further. Wouldn't this fall further until this week or next week? How do you see it?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: That's why the downward trend has stopped. The question is whether the floor is being minced or whether it is possible to rebound now after mincing the floor or whether it is just continuing to minced the floor. Now, I think that's a declaration at the press conference of President Yoon Suk Yeol's public statement last Thursday. It's a declaration to go on the path of change and innovation, but you can actually be half-hearted with just a declaration.
◆ Sinryul: Action will support you
◇ Shin Ji-ho: I think it's a crossroads, depending on how quickly it's done to meet the public's eye level, it could be a rebound from the next week, or it could be a crossroads.
◆ Sin-ryul: So, first of all, last week and this week, the conservatives feel a bit of a crisis, so they gather a little, but if there's no justification for it, it gets tired. We've gathered together, but there's nothing. Then, we have to show something before that. What should I show you first?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: First of all, there's going to be a personnel reshuffle in the presidential office. Then, the special inspector will proceed at a speed, and then Kim Gun-hee will not accompany her on this trip, and she will not engage in any external activities within this year. And then I won't make a separate office for the first lady in the second annex. It's small, but a lot of things are coming out like this. Those things need to come out continuously. At a meeting of senior secretaries presided over by the president this morning, the issue of resolving polarization as a key national task in the second half of his term has now created a special committee to close the gap that representative Han Dong-hoon has previously emphasized. It's exactly the same as that. So, I think that the policy code and the government and the government are now coming together.
◆ Sin-ryul: So you can understand that the two things that made President Yoon Suk Yeol president, the coalition between generational and ideological centrist conservatives, is to resolve the polarization for the coalition between the centrist conservatives rather than the coalition between generations.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: So it fits perfectly with the existing interpretation of our party's gap. And today, the ruling and opposition parties became legislative. The opposition party did not come in, but yesterday, the current leadership was impeached at the emergency meeting of the parliament, and the emergency committee chairman will be elected this Thursday. However, compared to the previous chairman Lim Hyun-taek, it has been shown that there will be quite moderate negotiators. If the Medical Association, a representative organization in the medical community, enters Yeouido, the opposition party will be in a difficult position. Very important decisions can be made there, too.
◆ Sin Yul: You have to be the princess.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: I hope so.
◆ Sin-ryul: But. Myung Tae Gyun, please arrest him earlier.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: He said he had a warrant. Former lawmaker Kim Young-sun also played with me.
◆ Shin Yul: We hit it together, but now we hit 3 people. One is the head of a local government. Three people are running for office. But should I pay more attention to your mouth, Myung Tae-kyun? How do you see it?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: I don't know. If the arrest is reviewed for the validity of the warrant and the arrest is made, it is not impossible to send a message even in prison. I don't think so, but I think it'll get quiet.
◆ Shin Yul: But when he was arrested, he would laugh out loud.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: But once you're arrested, you may change your mind. So, if you arrest me, it can be a kind of threat and a threat to get rid of everything as long as I've been with you, but not many people have something smart for someone who talks like that.
◆ Shin Yul: Let me talk about the opposition party for a second and ask you about the ruling party. First of all, the Democratic Party of Korea held a rally on November 2nd and November 9th, and the Democratic Party and the Korean Confederation of Trade Unions held a rally on November 9th, but the number of people at this rally was smaller than expected anyway, so many reporters pay attention to that point. The rally on November 2nd was followed by the Democratic Party of Korea's 300,000 police captains, 17,000 police captains, and TV Chosun calculated the maximum of 32,000, but on Saturday, November 9th, the Democratic Party's 200,000 police captains estimated 15,000 police captains. It's supposed to increase, but it's decreasing, and I personally don't have 30,000 people. What do you think is the reason why the number of people is so small?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: It's a strategic bankruptcy. I don't have a strategy. It's not that there isn't, but it's getting smaller because we're trying to gather people and instigate them now with a false strategy. So I said it from the beginning, but this is a total disgrace. I think the opposition party's outdoor rally is a disgrace because Supreme Council member Kim Min-seok said this at the first rally. Whether it is impeachment, constitutional amendment or white, the spring of alternative will come. The alternative spring is to hold an early presidential election in May next year, and candidate Lee Jae-myung will run and be elected. But this constitutional amendment. This is the constitution of the 6th Republic in 1987, and now we are going to create the 7th Republic. But what's the justification for shortening the term by two years? Originally, let's shorten the term by one year and join the local elections next year, then we will have an American-style presidential system and a four-year two-term system. You're not even trying to match the cycle, but it makes sense.
◆ Shin-yul: I want to say that when the Korean parliamentarian was reduced to the first two years of the House of Representatives in the American way.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: That's right. But let's shorten it by two years and hold a presidential election in May next year. Does that make sense? Then, whether it is constitutional amendment or impeachment, it means that Lee Jae-myung only needs to hold an early presidential election. Then, impeachment is so easy, and impeachment and constitutional amendment can be carried out at the same time? So how big of a national event is that? Both constitutional amendment and impeachment are very important national matters, and they do it like they call it a neighborhood dog. But what's all this? Lee Jae-myung isn't using it as a means for the early presidential election in May next year. If this happens, can this be called this responsible political force? Now the people are looking into it. And this Republic of Korea is a democratic republic, but for one person, Lee Jae-myung, the constitution is changed for one year. There are no proper reasons for impeaching President Yoon Suk Yeol, but does it make sense to make him impeach? That's why the Democratic Party of Korea is now Lee Jae-myung's 4th party. So, I'm trying to make the Republic of Korea itself a kingdom of Lee Jae-myung. Constitutional amendment for Lee Jae-myung Does impeachment for Lee Jae-myung make sense? So I'm looking into it. So it's strategically completely bankrupt. Already
◆ Shin Yul: But Chairman Lee Jae-myung or the Democratic Party of Korea has never mentioned impeachment at the party level.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: No, I can't say those two letters for Lee Jae-myung, but that's all because the people are not stupid. That's what most people do.
◆ Shin Yul: These two letters can be impeached or constitutional amendment. They say
◇ Shin Ji-ho: But in context, I think we're talking about impeachment.
◆ Sin-ryul: Why did you put it that way? Just
◇ Shin Ji-ho: I know. Aren't you being cowardly? If you want to impeach yourself, you should say impeachment fairly and appeal to the people's consent. That's the responsible political leader. Just as this cowardice has made the first party a party for its own individual Sadanghwa, the Constitution of the Republic of Korea should then be a constitutional amendment for Lee Jae-myung. So the Democratic Party is doomed. It's a total disaster right now.
◆ Shin-yul: But there's actually another thing that's going to affect the Democratic Party of Korea on the 25th of this week and maybe the end of December. Remittance to North Korea
◇ Shin Ji-ho: Like that, the
◆ Shin Yul: But first of all, how do you expect the ruling this week?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: This morning on YTN radio, five-term lawmaker Yoon Sang-hyun appeared in our party, and the court fined about 800,000 won
◆ Shin Yul: I heard it from a reporter.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: I think this person made a very inappropriate statement, a very inappropriate statement and a clear statement. No, if a senior member of the ruling party says so. When judging by the court over there, the senior member of the ruling party is also saying that, so I can write it like that. I can write the ruling like that. Is there anything you can do to help Lee Jae-myung? It's a very obvious slip of the tongue. But I asked some really good legal professionals around me about this. I don't know how it is expected, but I thought the same answer would be to deprive me of the right to vote, so I asked him what if he was innocent, and he said, "If you use innocence, you will use a fine of 800,000 won and 900,000 won." That's how he says in unison. But I don't know why lawmaker Yoon Sang-hyun made such a mistake.
◆ Shin Yul: In fact, in the case of Vice-President Shin Ji-ho, he is not a legal professional who received a doctorate in political science from Keio University and was in KDI. Same here. I first saw our political science at another conference 20 years ago, and it's been more than 20 years. But anyway, what kind of result is, for example, innocent or what? Wouldn't the rental offensive change a little depending on whether there is a deprivation of the right to vote?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: The rental offensive will be different. So, if the deprivation of the right to vote comes out this Friday, we will mobilize all means and oppose it. Professor Shin Yul, how do you feel about Saturday's rally at that time? I think it'll be less than last week. Friday
◆ Are you doing it again next week? Oh, this week?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: Aren't you going to do it again the next day? But wasn't the first rally the Democratic Party of Korea alone, and the second rally attracted the Cho Kuk Party, the Progressive Party, and the so-called Left Party?
◆ Shin Yul: Although it is not a coalition with the Korean Confederation of Trade Unions, it is officially held separately regardless of the location or time.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: We used the same stage for the rally. Yes, it's actually a co-subject. Different times, the first part is the KCTU, and the second part is the Democratic Party.
◆ Shin Yul: But what about the live broadcast?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: The live broadcasting problem is. At our party's supreme council meeting this morning, CEO Han Dong-hoon said this. It is an election that confirmed that the election of Representative Lee Jae-myung is also important in the U.S. regarding the election of Trump. Now, he expressed some familiarity with Trump, and Trump was also indicted and tried. Trump is the one who publicly suggested that his trial be a public trial. CEO Lee Jae-myung can also follow along.
◆ Sin Yul: But from the judge's point of view, I don't know if it's going to be a little less burdensome or even more burdensome to disclose. Anyway, that's the situation now, and the rental offensive will be stronger, but there are doubts about whether there is a proper way. By the way, the ruling is made on the 15th and the ruling is made on the 15th, and the independent counsel law is proposed on the 14th. What do you think within the Democratic Party of Korea, it is a third-party independent counsel and 14 is actually too much for them to see?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: That one. What's the point of making such an amendment? Our party's breakaway vote. Let's shake our party up and vote for the breakaway vote as much as possible. I don't think it's going to work at all. I don't think it's going to work at all. Although we reduced the 14 charges to two charges, we added the least favorite of our party members. Isn't it the Myung Tae-kyun gate and Kim Gun-hee's intervention in the nomination? If we do that. Members of my party have just been raided and it could happen. So our party members can't do this. So, if you want to agitate this side, you have to take out the things you hate the most, and then there is a logic that our party has consistently insisted on the special prosecution. Special prosecutors are supplementary. The prosecution's investigation has ended, but if public suspicions are still alive and social distrust occurs, let's find out more through the special prosecutor's investigation. Then luxury bags and Deutsche Motors make sense in that sense. It makes sense.
◆ Synthesis:
in terms of supplementality
◇ Shin Ji-ho: But the prosecution's investigation is underway for a long time, and the prosecution hasn't even started the investigation into the nomination. It's just that we're going to have a special prosecutor unconditionally, so it doesn't fit that either. So you had a hard time reducing 14 to two, but there won't be any filial piety at all.
◆ Shin Yul: Rather, if you are expecting a departure vote, the departure vote will inevitably decrease further.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: That's possible. Then, the Democratic Party of Korea argued with the special inspector that our party is going to do at this Thursday's parliamentary meeting. So if you try to stop the special prosecutor through the special inspector, you can't play tricks. Then, what do you think the Democratic Party of Korea will come out if our party will establish a special inspector system regardless of the recommendation of the opposition party director of the North Korean Human Rights Foundation? As of now, I don't think I'll respond. I don't think the special inspector will respond to this. It's not a special inspector, but a special prosecutor. I think we'll make a claim like this, but then we'll be more comfortable. Why does it make sense for people who don't even have a special prosecutor to ask for a special prosecutor? So, I reduced 14 to two and did something, but I don't get a special inspection. Then the special prosecutor will just not pass that 100%.
◆ Shin Yul: But this time, the issue of special inspection at the General Assembly can be agreed upon.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: We're going in that mood right now. The president also showed a forward-looking attitude. A high-ranking official in Yongsan also said he would now resolve the link with the North Korean Human Rights Foundation. Many members of our party are now gathering their opinions in that direction.
◆ Shin Yul: But that's why if the Democratic Party uses this special prosecutor as an excuse and rejects the special prosecutor, their position will be greatly reduced, right?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: The special prosecutor will agitate our party members so that the operation will fail completely as much as possible.
◆ Shin Yul: So how do you think the Democratic Party will respond? First of all, a special inspection.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: I don't know. Wouldn't it be normal to respond?
◆ Shin-yul: But there are so many things like that in the Korean political circle. So the special inspector issue is now being sorted out within the people's power, and personnel reform should come out. Regarding Kim Gun-hee's issue, he said he would not be active until the end of the year. Anyway, changing his phone number means that he showed sincerity rather than justification. I can understand it like this. The president's suggestion is this
◇ Shin Ji-ho: That's right. And this is the beginning stage, and we have to speed it up a little bit and keep scoring while thinking carefully about the level of public sympathy.
◆ Sin-ryul: That's why things that we talked about a lot of conflicts between close friends and friends can be calmed down.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: It can go down. Right now, that's right. In some media, it's a truce, so we didn't have a war like that. Well, there could be some conflict. There may be differences of opinion, but in the past, some dynamics of our party have become pro-yoon, pro-yoon, pro-yoon, pro-yun. But now the composition is changing.
◆ Close?
◇ Shin Ji-ho: No, how it's changing is that President Yoon has now decided to take the change and innovation proposed by representative Han Dong-hoon on the train. So, those who want to go down the path of change and innovation and those who just want to stick to their existing position
◆ Synthesis: If you are in an existing position
◇ Shin Ji-ho: So there's change within the pro-yoon. So, those who want to follow President Yoon on the path of change and reform and those who just want to stay and stick to their existing position, so the reorganization of our party has now begun, not as a close vs. pro-Yoon, but as a reformer vs. a water polo player.
◆ Sin-ryul: With that number, you have to live in the direction of change.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: The reformists and the water poloists. Water polo is not an old Guja. It's just about maintaining the existing stance. Isn't it water polo? So, it's starting to be reorganized into a revolutionary group and a water polo group.
◆ Sin Yul: It's starting to work now. So, depending on how much the situation changes in the future, the situation can change a lot. That's all for today's talk. Thank you.
◇ Shin Ji-ho: Thank you.
◆ Shin Yul: I was Shin Ji Ho, the head of the Strategic Planning Department of the People's Power.
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