- Slows Down With 尹's approval rating Conservative Collection? Confined in an 'L-Shaped' box and urged to disband pro-yoon at a press conference
- Kim Jae-won Kwon Young-se
- Han Dong-hoon, who changed from 尹 and differentiated to 'tugin' due to the approval rating of 'conservative collapse'
- Special Prosecutor Kim must go without covering it with a 'privilege'..a key issue in the next presidential election
□ Broadcast date and time: November 11, 2024 (Mon)
□ Host: Lee Ik-seon, Choi Soo-young
□ Performers: Kim Ki-heung, former deputy spokesperson for the president's office, Choi Byung-cheon, head of the New Growth Economic Research Institute
Kim Gi-heung)
- November is Lee Jae-myung's time...與 There is no need to confront Mrs. Kim, who is close to her.
- Mrs. Kim's departure vote? If Cho Kyung-tae is more than that in Ahn Cheol Soo, the leadership of South Korea will also be hurt
* The text below may differ from the actual broadcast content, so please check the broadcast for more accurate information.
◆Choi Soo-young: This is the first investigation since President Yoon's public statement last Thursday. This is the result of the Realmeter survey, and the approval rating for state affairs decreased slightly from the previous week to a 22.3% low. I think the expression sideways would be more appropriate. Is this a slowdown in the downtrend? How do you see it?
☆ Choi Byung-cheon: I got 22% on Realmeter and then 17% on Gallup that was released last Friday. I think President Yoon Suk Yeol's press conference is a 17-point press conference and a 22-point press conference based on the real meter, but I think it was a press conference that satisfied 17 or 22 of the people. So President Yoon Suk Yeol held a proper press conference. In the
economic domain, there is a term called the V-shaped curve. If economic indicators deteriorate significantly due to an external shock, this is an external factor, so recovering something is called a V-shape. But Yoon Suk Yeol's presidential approval rating itself has gone sideways, right? Last week's 0.1 percentage point is almost the same. The fact that it fell and went up in itself means nothing considering the errors in the opinion polls, but what President Yoon Suk Yeol should do now is half his term as of yesterday. If you are halfway through your term in office, you should usually be around 30%, but in the telephone poll, you should be at the beginning of the late 20% and more of this ARS, but you are completely stuck in an L-shaped approval rating right now, so there is an expression that we are trapped in a box in the KOSPI. I've become a box approval rating. The president's approval rating is stuck in the mid-10% to early-20% range on a telephone interview or ARS basis, but what's more surprising is that he seems very pleased with it. On the passport side. It is very sad in a way to be satisfied with the government's worst approval rating ever, saying, "We haven't fallen further this time." That's what I'm thinking right now.
◇ Proficiency line: I see. We cited a survey conducted by pollster Realmeter of 2,516 voters aged 18 or older from the 4th to the 8th at the request of the Energy Economy Newspaper. For more information, please visit Realmeter or the website of the Central Public Opinion Review Committee.
◆Choi Soo-young: Looking at the results of the Realmeter survey by region, the approval rating fell in the Seoul metropolitan area, followed by the low point, and rose again by 7% in Daegu and Gyeongbuk. So if you look at this, TK needs to fix the gathering after the press conference. Is this the right way to look at it?
★Kim Ki-heung: I don't like the fact that our approval rating has slowed down a little bit and we're less inclined to downward pressure. Since it is the last chance given by the people, we are accepting it as saying to do better and to add some scope to the current reform and change. I think Han Dong-hoon talked about reform and change, and in a way, didn't he talk about unity and unity in the presidential office from the pro-Yoon side? But I think it has to be the other way around. I believe that the presidential office should reform and change and that representative Han Dong-hoon should talk about unity and unity, which is a stable structure. The role needs to be changed, and if the president's approval rating is something creaky with representative Han Dong-hoon in that regard, the president will lose if the two presidents fight. And the public's approval rating has rebounded slightly, but it's not that people are willing to like some of the current president's statements, but let's see if we do well in reflecting on ourselves, but if there's any change, I don't think it's the kind of cold-hearted way to pat on the back like this. This expression is a bit awkward, but the president only received conditional support. Until now, President Yoon Suk Yeol has not had a "don't ask" approval rating like former President Park Geun Hye and former President Moon Jae In. Because it's not based on the region. So if I did well, I climbed up and if I didn't, I fell. But in this part, there are some things we did well in the first half, some parts we couldn't do, and some parts we couldn't do well because of Kim Gun-hee's part, so we're trying to solve that part. The public is anxious about the cooperation with the opposition parties regarding the ruling and opposition parties, and most of all, traditional supporters believe that there is room for a rebound in this part of the party that is not harmonized and is in conflict. Above all, isn't there diplomacy that the president is good at? What Trump's existence paradoxically raises uncertainty, but isn't diplomacy another area the president can do well? I think that if we lower some possibility and uncertainty in this area, our support will rise. What's good about the president's statement now is that when it becomes a past tense, it doesn't mean that he did well or didn't do well at that point.
☆Choi Byung-cheon: I think there has been a very important change in the situation since the president's press conference. The way to watch the press conference is that it became a press conference to urge the dissolution of Chin-yoon. And it should be said that it became a pro-Yoon half-mock press conference, but I think the symbolic people who show it are Kim Jae-won, the supreme council member, and former minister Kwon Young-se. Originally, there were close friends and pro-Yoon, but this is linked to why CEO Han Dong-hoon changed his position. Until then, it can be said that representative Han Dong-hoon took a kind of differentiation strategy to criticize various problems felt by President Yoon Suk Yeol. But my approval rating became mental. The approval rating has fallen to the level of a glass wallet, and the president's approval rating is so down. How should I say that if you give a slap like this, you're going to die like this, not just to the point where you're sick or to the point where you're unpleasant? So now CEO Han Dong-hoon said, "If I criticize something one more like this, it will just disappear." So I thought that the entire regime could collapse, so I couldn't even criticize it because of the fear of collapse with conservatives. And Kim Jae-won, Rep. Kwon Young-se, and the pro-yoon's position is that special inspections are usually conducted because of the director of the North Korean Human Rights Foundation, but no one has expressed such a voice. In addition, the special inspector has changed to a favorable atmosphere, and the presidential office's personnel reform has changed to a favorable atmosphere. So, the presidential transcript was released on October 31, and on November 7, the president should have made something neat and rebounded into a V shape, but that's not it. The disappointment was solidified by showing that the people have to apologize for the disappointment, but I don't know what to apologize for. However, it varies from survey to survey, but the approval rating has solidified from mid to late 10% to early 20%. So, President Lee's approval rating itself has solidified to a level of rational mental support, so rather than doing something like this because the close circle thinks that if I hit it more, it will collapse. So, in a nutshell, the tactical change took place because representative Han Dong-hoon's disappointment with President Yoon Suk Yeol increased public disappointment. The key point of the tactical change is that it has changed from a differentiated line to a 'tugging line', and half of the pro-yoon line has actually changed to a close line. So there's been a very significant change in momentum in this internal inverse relationship. I think so.
◇Lee Ik-seon: Actually, you asked all the following questions in advance. About CEO Han Dong-hoon's change.
★Kim Gi-heung: That's what I see. So, there was the writing that the president had to include, and reporters at that time, so when it comes to appointing a special inspector, the president took a different position than before on whether it was linked to the recommendation of directors of the North Korean Human Rights Foundation, but he didn't come up with a clear and explicit position. So as far as I know at the time, there was a report from Channel A that evening. There was a report that the president, other than a high-ranking official, would not link this, and I looked at the report and covered the president's office to see if it was true. So in the end, the president explicitly said he would appoint this and not link it. What else came out that afternoon was that the lady was not accompanying her on this trip. So in the end, the president talked about foreign activities in detail, but it came out concretely that he would not do it this time. Then, from CEO Han Dong-hoon's point of view, what he asked for was personnel reform, the suspension of some kind of external activities by Mrs. Han, and then the appointment of a special inspector. If so, from the perspective of representative Han Dong-hoon, it is politically beneficial to say that the president accepted my request, but there is no benefit if he differentiates himself for not doing it. So, it's more important for the ruling party leader to know how to move the president and whether the president puts strength or helps me in my words. That's why, from a pro-Yoon perspective, the president parted his hair like that, and that's because it's the public's public sentiment. It's not that pro-Yoon did it and then President Yoon Suk Yeol did it and then went close, but that's a natural change in position and that's right for the people's will. That's why I don't think it's an area to interpret excessively politically with it, and the president eventually accepted the public's sentiment, and representative Han Dong-hoon accepted what he said.
◆Choi Soo-young: Then, I can't agree with the expression "Han Dong-hoon with tail down" that Park Chan-dae's floor leader is talking about right now?
★Kim Ki-heung: In my view, there is something wrong with the opposition party's view right now. It is true that the approval rating reflects the public's public sentiment, but not everything depends on it. Why are you so obsessed with numbers? Of course, it is a problem to ignore any trend of public opinion as an image of communication, but it is not appropriate to drive out the president just because his approval rating has fallen. And when it comes to opinion polls, how many people know the problems of the poll regarding Myung Tae-kyun right now? Even I'm a conservative, but I'm a moderate-oriented conservative, but people don't get public opinion polls these days. There is such a part, and of course, what I heard is a problem with the poll. That's why I humbly accept the trend, not ignore it, but that's not all.
☆Choi Byung-cheon: Last but not least, the president talked about 140 minutes. I talked for 140 minutes, and at that time, I said, "Why are you apologizing?", but I don't know what to apologize for. In terms of content, it's from a reporter from the Busan Ilbo. However, the president himself apologized for 140 minutes without knowing what he was apologizing for, but it was a pity for the presidential aides. So, the presidential aides said, "Kim Gun-hee will stop her outside activities," at first, "I will stop this tour," and later, "I will stop until the end of the year." Then, I did something that could be misunderstood as if I was going to start early next year. And he said he would renovate his personnel and accept a special inspection, so the president said he didn't know what he was saying if he had received it, but he later said it. In the wake of this incident, I held a transcript and a press conference and took the lead in a situation where pro-Yoon friendly people were in conflict with each other within the power of the people, and to borrow Park Chan-dae's expression, it should be considered that Yongsan lowered its tail rather than Han Dong-hoon. Overall, this incident itself is why I think it has happened in the last week or two that the pro-Yoon forces have been halved.
◆Choi Soo-young: Then let me ask you one more question. Then, CEO Han Dong-hoon is controlling the speed like this in order not to follow in the footsteps of former CEO Yoo Seung Min. What do you think about the analysis that the Yoon Han conflict was sealed?
☆Choi Byung-cheon: So CEO Han Dong-hoon is walking a precarious tightrope right now. I just talked about Kim Gun-hee's special prosecutor, but Chae Hae-byung and Kim Gun-hee's special prosecutor are not issues that can be covered by special inspection. Because the people have suspicions about past problems in their minds. If I'm in the ruling party, I have to shake it off. But he kept passing it near the goal of the presidential election. If it doesn't pass right now, I don't think it will pass forever, but in my view, it will be a key issue in the presidential election. Still, the ruling party is helping the Democratic Party of Korea, but Chairman Han Dong-hoon seems to agree with the Democratic Party of Korea's special prosecution, so it should be seen that the Democratic Party continues to walk a precarious tightrope. Even so, I can't agree with the president, so it's a little different from representative Yoo Seung Min in that sense because he's walking a precarious tightrope between differentiation and towing.
◆Choi Soo-young: Then, will I receive a special inspection at the medical meeting scheduled for the 14th?
★Kim Ki-heung: In fact, I think there is a high possibility that the vote will not be voted on. This is unconditionally recommended as appointing a special inspector, and I think the opposition party is important for the special investigation, but it's not that the special investigation is not important. I wonder how the Democratic Party will present its position on the special prosecutor. So, whether it's CEO Han Dong-hoon, whether it's pro-Yoon, or close, I'm on your side engineeringically. That's not the important thing. From Han Dong-hoon's point of view, the Yoon Suk Yeol government should succeed. However, many people believe in a certain kind of goodwill of CEO Han Dong-hoon, but they pointed out the rough part of the process. In that process, I think it led to a natural situation.
◇Lee Ik-seon: Issue is Monday. Thank you to the two of you for being with us today. He was joined by Kim Ki-heung, a deputy spokesman for the former president's office, and Choi Byung-cheon, head of the New Growth Economic Research Institute.
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