u.s. presidential race against d-11 continues...who will win?

2024.10.25. AM 05:09
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[Anchor]
The U.S. presidential election is only 11 days away, but the candidates from both sides are still competing for a super-contest within the margin of error.

Both Vice President Harris and former President Trump are engaged in a last-minute race in competing states.

I'll connect you to the Washington correspondent for the local atmosphere and outlook.

Correspondent Hong Sang-hee!

[Reporter]
Yes, it's Washington.

[Encore]
I'll start with the most curious question. Based on current standards, who is more likely to win the election?

[Reporter]
Should I say that the candidate who leads the race changes when he wakes up? Within the margin of error, the approval ratings of both candidates are tossing and turning.

Let's take a look at this morning's poll here.

This is the result of a survey of more than 1,200 voters willing to vote from the 21st to the 23rd by polling agency Tip Insights.

At the national level, Harris has a 50% approval rating and a 47% approval rating for former President Trump, with Harris leading by 3 percentage points.

Let's take a look at a poll by Forbes and pollster Harris X a day ago.

Former President Trump's approval rating was 51%, two percentage points ahead of Vice President Harris.

A month ago, Vice President Harris led by 4 percentage points, but former President Trump reversed.

Trump's chances of winning the election are coming out one by one.

Political media outlet The Hill said Trump's chances of winning the election were 52 percent as of Sunday, ahead of Harris' 48 percent, while election forecasting expert Nate Silver said his gut feeling was that Trump would win.

[Anchor]
What is more important than the national approval rating is the competition state.

The reason why competing states are important is that they need to secure voters assigned to each state.

What's the current state of affairs?

[Reporter]
As you said, the candidate who secures a majority of 270 out of 538 electors will win, and the number of electors in seven competing states is 93.

Here are the results of a poll of contending states released today by Bloomberg News.

The survey was conducted on 5,000 registered voters in seven competing states by the 20th, with Vice President Harris' approval rating of 49.1%, 0.6 percentage points ahead of former President Trump.

Vice President Harris leads Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, and Arizona.

Former President Trump has been shown to be ahead in Georgia, North Carolina and Wisconsin, but it's still close.

But if you look closely, you can see the current flow.

Although there is little difference in approval ratings in the Rust Belt, former President Trump is widening the gap in Sun Belt such as North Carolina and Georgia, and the leadership of the rival state is now handed over to former President Trump.

[Anchor]
What causes Vice President Harris, whose approval rating rose sharply immediately after the first TV debate in September, to struggle?

[Reporter]
The biggest reason is that traditional Democratic supporters, Black and Latino voters, are turning toward Trump.49% of Latino voters

say they support former President Trump, well over 38% of Vice President Harris' approval rating.

The approval rating of black voters is only 72%, lower than four years ago, and yesterday, 26% of black male voters said they would vote for former President Trump.

There seems to be a difference in competition on key issues.

[Anderson Cooper and Kamala Harris / (local time, 24th, CNN): Tonight, I'm asking. Do you think Donald Trump is a fascist? Yes, that's right. I think we should trust people who know (Trump) well about this topic.

[Donald Trump / Former U.S. President (local time, 24th, Georgia: (Former) Interest rate was 2%. Now the interest rate is 10%, but I can't get money. We're going to drill, drill, drill, drill and everything will go down.]

While Vice President Harris emphasizes that former President Trump is a dangerous threat to democracy this month and focuses on values such as freedom and the future, former President Trump is working harder on issues voters feel on their skin, including inflation, tariffs, jobs and illegal immigration.

Just after Hurricane Hurlin hit the southeastern United States last month, former President Trump visited Georgia, the site of the damage, while Vice President Harris visited the Federal Emergency Visit Administration.

[Anchor]
Vice President Harris is in a more urgent situation.

Both candidates are working hard on their campaigns in the neck-and-neck states, right?

[Reporter]
Harris, who appeared on CNN's town hall meeting live yesterday, will make her first joint campaign with former President Obama in Clarkston, Georgia, this afternoon.

Former President Obama has been campaigning for support in competing states since the 10th.

Today, we will be on stage together to focus on non-commercial people, black voters, and especially black men.

Tomorrow, I'm going to campaign with pop singer Beyonce in Houston, Texas.

On the 29th, former President Trump plans to hold a closing campaign rally at Ellips Park in front of the White House, where he instigated the Congressional invasion.

Former President Trump is encouraged by recent polls in contending states.

The intensity of the criticism of Harris has also increased, highlighting key issues in the ascendancy: the economy and illegal immigration.

Today, he appeared on a conservative podcast and threatened to immediately dismiss Special Counsel Jack Smith, who prosecuted him, on the first day of his return to the White House.

He is also focusing on rallying supporters in competing states, including North Carolina and Georgia yesterday, and today he plans to meet with voters in Arizona and Nevada to appeal to votes.

I'm Hong Sanghee of YTN in Washington.




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